Official NFL 2011 Predictions
NFC EAST
1. Philadelphia Eagles
Dream Team? Maybe. It all hinges on the wideouts staying healthy and Vick improving his reads.
2. Dallas Cowboys*
Rob Ryan’s new system should help, but can the secondary hold up its end? Have the players had enough time to learn the system?
3. New York Giants
Reshuffled offensive line might tweak the identity of the offense. Enough talent here to win the division, but depth could be an issue in places.
4. Washington Redskins
John Beck or Rex Grossman? Ouch.
NFC NORTH
1. Green Bay Packers
The most talented team in football top to bottom. Their biggest obstacle might be complacency. That’s something you can’t predict, though.
2. Detroit Lions
If Stafford stays healthy…
3. Chicago Bears
Probability says a weak offensive line will catch up to them this season.
4. Minnesota Vikings
No passing game, bad O-line, downgraded defense.
NFC SOUTH
1. New Orleans Saints
The richest, most diverse offensive playbook in football will give them an advantage coming off shortened offseason. Improvements to defensive line are huge.
2. Atlanta Falcons*
Rock solid on all fronts.
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Rising young team, but serious holes at linebacker and safety hurt the defense. The young receivers and running backs aren’t as dynamic as people think, either.
4. Carolina Panthers
Cam Newton will have his hands full – it’s way too tall an order.
NFC WEST
1. St. Louis Rams
If Bradford and the offense can quickly learn Josh McDaniels’s system, we’re looking at a club capable of winning at least nine games.
2. Arizona Cardinals
Kolb is no Kurt Warner, but he’s also no Derek Anderson.
3. San Francisco 49ers
Yet another coaching staff will learn the hard way that Alex Smith is not the guy.
4. Seattle Seahawks
Tarvaris Jackson has looked awful thus far. Not good given the mediocre running game.
NFC CHAMPIONSHIP
Saints over Eagles
AFC EAST
1. New England Patriots
Offense is golden as always. Defensively, the slight shift in philosophy should pay off.
2. New York Jets*
Defense is dynamic, but as was the case last year, it comes down to Mark Sanchez taking that next step.
3. Miami Dolphins
They don’t have great confidence in Henne, but a spread offense would make him a different quarterback. Problem is, Sparano wants to remain a black-and-blue running team.
4. Buffalo Bills
Slowly building the right way. 5-11 looks likely, but an 8-8 overachieving try-hard campaign is not out of the question.
AFC NORTH
1. Pittsburgh Steelers
Will age catch up to the defense this season?
2. Baltimore Ravens*
Here we are again talking about this team needing an improved passing game in order to get over that final hump.
3. Cleveland Browns
Simply don’t have the personnel right now to propel their offensive and defensive system overhauls.
4. Cincinnati Bengals
A disaster site.
AFC SOUTH
1. Indianapolis Colts
Banking on Manning getting healthy before October.
2. Houston Texans
Not taking the “breakout year” bait again. It’s 50/50 that Wade Phillips’s new 3-4 defensive system will pay off.
3. Tennessee Titans
Quietly underwent a lot of changes this past offseason.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars
Lack of big-time receiving threat and adequate pass-rusher equates to limited playmaking potential.
AFC WEST
1. San Diego Chargers
If the special teams are so much as average, the data says this is at least an 11-win club.
2. Kansas City Chiefs
Young defense will be rock solid. Offensively, the loss of TE Tony Moeaki hurts BAD.
3. Denver Broncos
Kyle Orton is good enough to compensate for a subpar running game, but can the readjusted defense get on track?
4. Oakland Raiders
Jason Campbell is far too limited. Defensively, you can’t be a man-coverage based unit and expect to easily shake off the loss of Nnamdi Asomugha.
AFC Championship
Patriots over Ravens
Super Bowl
Saints over Patriots
| NFL picks 2011, NFL predictions 2011, NFL rankings 2011, Super Bowl prediction
My Picks:
NFC East
Philadelphia Eagles 12-4
Washington Redskins 8-8
Dallas Cowboys 8-8
New York Giants, 6-10
NFC South:
New Orleans Saints 11-5
Atlanta Falcons 11-5*
Tampa Bay Bucs 9-7
Carolina Panthers 3-13
NFC North:
Green Bay Packers 13-3
Chicago Bears 10-6*
Detroit Lions 8-8
MInnesota Vikings 4-12
NFC West:
Arizona Cardinals 10-6
St.Louis Rams 9-7
Seattle Seahawks 5-11
San Fran 49ers 3-13
NFC East:
New York Jets 13-3
New England Patriots 12-4*
Miami Dolphins 5-11
Buffalo Bills 2-14
NFC South:
Houston Texans 11-5
Indianapolis Colts 9-7
Jacksonville Jaguars 5-11
Tennessee Titans 4-12
AFC North:
Pittsburgh Steelers 12-4
Baltimore Ravens 11-5*
Cleveland Browns 7-9
Cincinnati Bengals 1-15
AFC West:
Kansas City Chiefs 9-7
San Diego Chargers 9-7
Oakland Raiders 8-8
Denver Broncos 4-12
AFC Championship:
New York Jets 27
New England Pats 24
NFC Championshp:
Green Bay Packers 21
Philadelphia Eagles 10
Super Bowl:
Green Bay 24
Jets 19
Saints over Patriots. Ditto!
Hey Andy –
I hadn’t planned on commenting, but when I got to your prediction on the Miami Dolphins my jaw dropped. Is this one of those cases of someone having to look at too many teams (32) to be familiar with all of them? All preseason (and much of the offseason) , the press has been endless about how Tony Sparano has changed his mind about being conservative, changed offensive coordinators and philosophies, and Miami is changing to an aggressive pass-first offense. I’ll dish a few quick sample links that are representative:
http://www.thephinsider.com/2011/5/18/2176837/miami-dolphins-a-drastic-change-in-store-as-offense-plans-on-opening
http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/story/15474032/dolphins-hoping-to-go-from-check-down-to-downtown
http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/news?slug=jc-cole_tony_sparano_chad_henne_miami_dolphins082211
http://articles.sun-sentinel.com/2011-09-08/sports/fl-miami-dolphins-brian-daboll-0909-20110908_1_brian-daboll-tony-sparano-brian-hartline
OK, catching up on some of your other recent stuff, which is very good BTW, I see that you are actually up on this. Not sure why your comment here doesn’t reflect it, though?